Blazers steal one from Warriors

Basketball Betting Lines

02/16/2012 - Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamal Crawford made the game-winning free throws in the final minute, as the Trail Blazers survived a seesaw battle with the Warriors, 93-91, at Oracle Arena.

Gerald Wallace chipped in 24 points, Nicolas Batum had 17 and Crawford finished with 14 for Portland, which snapped a two-game losing streak despite being without injured All-Star LaMarcus Aldridge.

"They were not going to lose this game," Blazers head coach Nate McMillan said. "Our execution was pretty good coming down the stretch."

David Lee posted 29 points and 11 rebounds to lead Golden State, which was looking for a fourth straight win.

Two Stephen Curry free throws gave the Warriors a 90-88 lead, but Crawford answered at the other end with a three-pointer with 1:03 remaining.

Nate Robinson had a chance to give Golden State the lead again, but made just 1-of-2 from the foul line for his 21st point. It was the first of three errors for the reserve guard in the final minute.

Crawford was fouled with 43.7 seconds on the clock and sank both free throws, proving to be the difference.

After Robinson missed a floater, Crawford hit the back of the rim on a pullup jumper from the foul line, giving the Warriors another shot to tie or take the lead. The hosts called timeout with six seconds left to draw up a final play.

They put the ball in the hands of Robinson, who split two defenders at the top of the key but lost control of the ball and failed to get a pass off as the buzzer sounded.

"We had a couple of chances," Lee said. "It was a battle of wills, and they made more plays in the end."

The Warriors controlled things early, leading 27-20 at the end of the first quarter. Portland responded with seven offensive rebounds in the second frame, leading to 12 points and a 57-54 lead at the break.

Both teams struggled from the field in the third quarter, which ended with the visitors clinging to a 72-70 advantage. The margin never reached higher than five in the fourth.

Game Notes

Aldridge sprained his left ankle in Portland's 124-109 home loss to Washington on Tuesday...The Warriors had won four straight over the Blazers, including a 101-93 win in Oakland on January 25...Marcus Camby posted a double-double with 12 points and 11 rebounds for Portland...Curry had eight points and eight assists in the loss.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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